China May Pause After Third Rate Move as Wen Bets Inflation 'Controllable' Bloomberg
China may limit interest-rate increases for the rest of this year as Premier Wen Jiabao bets that a slowing economy will help tame inflation after five moves since mid-October.
A quarter-point boost to one-year lending and deposit rates from today may be the last for 2011, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co., HSBC Holdings Plc and Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Nomura Holdings Inc. predicts one more move, this quarter.
The ruling Communist Party may delay further increases because of signs of weakness in manufacturing and export demand and to avoid attracting more speculative capital to the fastest- growing major economy. The central bank moved before a report that may show consumer prices rose more than 6 percent last month, the biggest gain since July 2008 and a likely peak for this year, according to JPMorgan.
“This is likely to be the last hike of the year,” said Yu Song, a Hong Kong-based economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., citing a risk of “hot money inflows” and “the negative impact on real economic activities.” Yu and colleague Helen Qiao were jointly ranked the top forecasters of the Chinese economy in a Bloomberg analysis of estimates over the two years through May.
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euronews reporter – China accelerates in Europe
New motorways in Poland, co-financed by the EU, are being built by Chinese companies. Outraged European industry groups accuse China of competing unfairly. The Chinese are also buying up public debt, in Greece, Spain and Portugal. That is our subject this week in Reporter…. www.euronews.net
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